12 - 31 August 2021

Hisham Putar Apa Hari Ini Phase 2 (12 August - 31 August 2021): Why did Hisham change the criteria of patients from "Vaccinated/Unvaccinated" (Phase 1) to "Fully vaccinated/Not fully vaccinated" (Phase 2)? Because the numbers from Phase 1 showed a trend which was beginning to look not so nice... (Phase 1 (26 July - 11 August 2021): https://mycovidgraphs.blogspot.com/2021/09/21-august-2021.html

* * * Fasa 2 (12 Ogos - 31 Ogos 2021): Kenapa Hisham tukar kriteria dari "Sudah divaksin/Tidak divaksin" (Fasa 1) kepada "Lengkap divaksin/Tidak lengkap divaksin" (Fasa 2)? Sebab angka dari Fasa 1 menunjukkan trend yg mula kelihatan tidak begitu cantik... (Fasa 1 (26 Julai - 11 Ogos 2021): https://mycovidgraphs.blogspot.com/2021/09/21-august-2021.html

I call this Phase 2, when the definition was changed to “Fully vaccinated/Not fully vaccinated”. Definition:

Fully vaccinated (pink bars):
2 doses > 2 weeks

Not fully vaccinated (blue bars):
1 dose
2 doses < 2 weeks
Unvaccinated (including children and babies)

This is called confounding the data when you mix together people who have received 1 or 2 doses with the unvaccinated, like they are the same. What is he trying to hide here?

According to this chart, the number of fully vaccinated patients (pink) increased by TWO TIMES while the “partially vaccinated” (blue) decreased. If the unvaccinated are the ones spreading disease, why did their numbers decrease?

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Saya namakan ini Fasa 2, di mana kriteria ditukar ke “Lengkap divaksin/Tidak lengkap divaksin”. Maksudnya:

Lengkap divaksin (bahagian pink):
2 dos + 2 minggu

Tidak lengkap divaksin (bahagian biru):
1 dos
2 dos kurang daripada 2 minggu
Tidak divaksin (termasuk kanak2 dan bayi)

Ia mengelirukan data apabila orang yg sudah divaksin 1 atau 2 dos digolongkan sekali dengan orang yg tidak divaksin. Apakah yg Hisham cuba sembunyikan dengan berbuat begitu?

Mengikut carta ini, bilangan pesakit yg telah divaksin (pink) naik 2 kali ganda, manakala pesakit yg tidak lengkap divaksin (biru) makin berkurangan. Kalau orang yg tidak divaksin adalah penyebar penyakit, kenapa bilangan mereka berkurangan?

As a percentage, the proportion of patients who are already fully vaccinated increased from 12.6% to 26.4%, which is an increase of 2 times.

The percentage of not fully vaccinated patients went down from 87% to 73%, which is a decrease of 15%.

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Sebagai peratusan, peratus pesakit yg sudah lengkap divaksin naik dari 12.6% ke 26.4%, iaitu kenaikan 2 KALI GANDA.

Peratus pesakit yg tidak lengkap vaksin turun dari 87% ke 73%, iaitu pengurangan sebanyak 15%.

But you say, of course it went up, because the number of fully vaccinated people in the population also went up.

* * *
Tapi kamu kata, tentu lah pesakit yg telah lengkap divaksin naik, sebab bilangan rakyat yg lengkap divaksin pun naik.

The rate of infection for the fully vaccinated is an average of 45 people every day per 100,000 vaccinated people in the population.

* * *
Kadar jangkitan untuk pesakit yg lengkap divaksin ialah purata 45 orang setiap hari untuk setiap 100,000 rakyat yg telah lengkap divaksin.

I don’t want to do a comparison with the “Not fully vaccinated” group because it is ridiculous to compare with a group that mixes both vaccinated and unvaccinated numbers together. So let’s compare it to Phase 1. In Phase 1, the red bars are vaccinated patients (1 or 2 shots). The purple bars are patients who are not vaccinated.

We see that on the last day of Phase 1, the vaccinated made up almost 25% of all the patients. Then Hisham changed the criteria. On the first day of Phase 2, fully vaccinated patients (pink bar) made up 12.6%. This means the pink bar is exactly half of the red bar. Fully vaccinated patients make up half of all the vaccinated patients.

By simply changing the criteria, Hisham has wiped out 50% of the numbers.

* * *

Saya tak mahu buat perbandingan dengan kumpulan “Tidak lengkap divaksin” sebab itu data sampah yg mencampurkan orang yg divaksin dan tidak divaksin sekali. Jadi kita bandingkan dengan Fasa 1.

Di dalam Fasa 1, bar merah adalah pesakit yg telah divaksin (1 atau 2 dos). Bar ungu adalah pesakit yg tidak divaksin. Lihat hari terakhir di dalam Fasa 1 - peratus pesakit yg telah divaksin adalah 25%. Kemudian, Hisham tukar kriteria. Pada hari pertama Fasa 2, peratus pesakit yg lengkap divaksin (pink) adalah 12.6%. Ini bermaksud pesakit yg lengkap divaksin adalah 50% daripada semua pesakit yg telah divaksin.

Dengan menukar kriteria, Hisham telah manghapuskan 50% angka pesakit begitu saja.

Here, I have made an estimate of the percentage of vaccinated patients (orange bars), assuming that they are double that of the fully vaccinated (pink bars). At the end of this period, fully vaccinated patients are 26%, so all vaccinated patients are estimated to be 53%. (Are my numbers correct? Wait and see in the following days.)

This is why Hisham changed the criteria - because he is trying to hide the fact that the MAJORITY of sick people are already vaccinated, so he can continue to blame the increase on the unvaccinated. Keep spinning, Hisham. Does he think the rakyat is blind?

So, we need to ask – the government, parents and even a sultan are forcing teachers to get vaccinated because “Unvaccinated people will spread disease to children.” Is this based on fact, or spreading fake news propaganda? We can see from this graph that:

1. The majority of infected people are already vaccinated (53%).
2. The group whose numbers increased by DOUBLE are FULLY vaccinated.

So, who's the one spreading disease here???

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Di sini, saya telah membuat anggaran peratusan pesakit yg telah divaksin (bar jingga), berdasarkan andaian bahawa pesakit yg lengkap divaksin (pink) adalah separuh daripada semua pesakit yg telah divaksin. Pada penghujung tempoh ini, pesakit yg lengkap divaksin adalah 26%, jadi semua pesakit yg telah divaksin dianggarkan adalah 53%. (Adakah anggaran saya betul? Tunggu dan lihat.)

Inilah sebab kenapa Hisham tukar kriteria tengah jalan - supaya dia boleh sembunyikan fakta bahawa lebih daripada separuh pesakit sudah pun divaksin, dan dia boleh sambung salahkan orang yg tidak divaksin untuk kenaikan ini. Putar lagi, Hisham... Adakah dia sangka rakyat buta?

Jadi, kita perlu tanya - kerajaan, ibubapa dan sultan pun sibuk memaksa cikgu untuk divaksin kerana “Orang yg tidak divaksin akan sebarkan penyakit kepada kanak2.” Adakah ini berdasarkan fakta, ataupun menyebar propaganda berita palsu? Kita boleh melihat dari graf ini bahawa:

1. Majoriti pesakit sudah divaksin (53%).
2. Kumpulan yg bilangannya naik DUA KALI GANDA adalah orang yg sudah LENGKAP divaksin.

Jadi, siapakah yg menyebar penyakit sebenarnya???

Right or not, my calculations? 53% of patients are vaccinated on the day before this. Now it's 57%. The vaccinated are steadily going up and up. This is why Hisham covered it up.

So, who is more likely to spread disease?

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Betul tak, kiraan saya? 53% pesakit sudah divaksin pada hari sebelum ini. Sekarang sudah 57%. Peratus yg telah divaksin terus naik. Sebab itu Hisham tutup.

Siapakah penyebar penyakit sebenarnya?

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